Tuesday, March 9, 2021

 Bismarck or Moltke?  Anthony Wayne Wright


Otto von Bismarck, Chancellor of Germany, understood the proper relationship between political and military authorities better than General Field Marshall Helmuth von Moltke.  As heads of the political and military arms of the Prussian government during the wars of German Unification, serving at the pleasure of the Sovereign, each man ranks at the very top of his respective profession.  Each had phenomenal powers of net assessment and the proper understanding of the relation between military planning and desired political result in limited warfare.  Each worked well to set the conditions by which the other could succeed.  Together they allowed a middling confederation of Germanic states, widely spread out and disconnected, bound on three sides by great powers which did not wish them well, to succeed and rise to prominence. 

What they did not share, however, was a common understanding of the Chancellor’s role in directing military operations once violence began.  Just as Clausewitz equivocated over when (not whether) to allow politicians and diplomats to shape the direction of war, Moltke and Bismarck bickered over the execution of Prussian military campaigns.  Moltke’s desire for a clear delineation of duties between the military and political sides of Clausewitz’s trinity, seemingly without interaction, gives Bismarck the edge in any comparison of the two’s grasp of political-military authorities.

Prussia was able to take its place as one of Europe’s great powers because she had two brilliant and talented men at the head of her government.  Much has been written about their disagreements.  However, the reasons for Prussia’s success are based on Moltke and Bismarck’s mutual understandings.  The environment, the means at their disposal and the proper method to connect ends and means (limited war for limited ends) were (mostly) clear to both of them.  When they did disagree, the King typically made the right decision trusting his First Minister when issues spanned both policy and strategy and his General Staff on operational and tactical questions.

            The General Staff did not take Bismarck’s transgressions lightly, however.  In the years following the Franco-Prussian War the General Staff insulated itself from both the War Ministry and, be extension, the Government.  They managed to create the separation Moltke sought.  Operating in a vacuum, General Schlieffen was able to completely ignore Clausewitz’s warning about this exact situation.  As a result he created a perfect military plan which led to both military and political disaster.

Friday, February 19, 2021

Good Words - Anthony Wayne Wright



 Go in close, and when you think you are too close, go in closer.
Major Thomas B.
 “Tommy” McGuire, USAAF

Second Leading U.S. Ace, WW-II

38 Victories

The Yo-Yo is very difficult to explain. It was first perfected by the well-known Chinese fighter pilot Yo-Yo Noritake. He also found it difficult to explain, being quite devoid of English.

Squadron Leader K.G. Holland, RAF

Fighter Pilot

The winner (of an air battle) may have been determined by the amount of time, energy, thought and training an individual has previously accomplished in an effort to increase his ability as a fighter pilot.

Commander Randy “Duke” Cunningham,  USN

5 Victories in Vietnam

The most important thing for a fighter pilot is to get his first victory without too much shock.

Colonel Werner Moelders, Luftwaffe

115 Victories, WW-II and Spanish Civil War

You fight like you train.

Motto, U.S. Navy Fighter Weapons School

Fly with the head and not with the muscles. That is the way to long life for a fighter pilot. The fighter pilot who is all muscle and no head will never live long enough for a pension.

Colonel Willie Batz, GAF

237 Victories, WW-II

Aggressiveness was fundamental to success in air-to-air combat and if you ever caught a fighter pilot in a defensive mood you had him licked before you started shooting.

Captain David McCampbell, USN

Leading U.S. Navy Ace, WW-II

34 Victories (9 in one mission)

A MiG at your six is better than no MiG at all.

Unknown U.S. Fighter Pilot

The aggressive spirit, the offensive, is the chief thing everywhere in war, and in the air is no exception.

Baron Manfred von Richthofen

Leading Ace of WWI with 80 Victories

Any angles you give the bogey on the first pass will haunt you for the rest of the fight.

Lieutenant Jim “Huck” Harris, USN

You can’t fight what you can’t see.

Unknown

The quality of the box matters little. Success depends upon the man who sits in it.                                           

Baron Mafred von Richthofen

Only the spirit of attack borne in a brave heart will bring success to any fighter aircraft, no matter how highly developed it may be.

Lt. General Adolph Galland, Luftwaffe

Being under fire is bad for the nervous system.

Captain Willy Coppens

Leading Belgian Air Force Ace, WW-I

37 Victories (36 of which were Tethered balloons)

Speed is life.

Israeli Tactics Manual

A kill is a kill.

Anonymous

The guy you don’t see will kill you.

Brigadier General Robin Olds, USAF

12 Victories in WWII and 4 in Vietnam

If you come back from an operation with a kill but without your wingman, you lost your battle.

Lt Colonel Dietrich Hrabak, Luftwaffe

125 Victories, WW-II

SEE, DECIDE, ATTACK, REVERSE.

Major Erich “Bubi” Hartmann, Luftwaffe

The World’s Leading Ace with 352 Victories in WWII

In my opinion the aggressive spirit is everything.

Baron Manfred von Richthofen

The fighter pilots have to rove in the area allotted to them in any way they like, and when they spot an enemy they attack and shoot him down; anything else is rubbish.

Baron Manfred von Richthofen

In air fights it is absolutely essential to fly in such a way that your adversary cannot shoot at you, if you can manage it.

Captain Oswald Boelcke, German Air Service

Confront the enemy with the tip of your sword against his face.

Miyamoto Musashi

One peek is worth a thousand (radar) sweeps.

Unknown

He who sees first, lives longest.

Unknown

Tight turns were more a defensive than an offensive tactic and did not win air battles.

Air Vice Marshal J.E. “Johnnie” Johnson, RAF

Beware the lessons of a fighter pilot who would rather fly a slide rule than kick your ass!

Commander Ron “mugs” McKeown, USN

Commander, U.S. navy Fighter Weapons School

2 Victories, Vietnam 

Operation ENDLESS JUSTICE - Anthony Wayne Wright

 This paper will look at the legal questions raised by the preparatory and kinetic phases of Operation ENDLESS JUSTICE (OEJ), the operation designed to enforce UN Security Council Resolution 1234.  Commander, Joint Task Force Eight (JTF8) is tasked with the following missions:

(1) Neutralize the capabilities of Tawalkana terrorist and Qati military forces; (2) capture those persons involved in the planning and direction of the terrorist attacks; and (3) rescue US and third-country hostages.

Resolution 1234 provides additional context for the execution of OEJ and is important to review prior to any discussion of the legality of JTF8’s actions.  Big picture, JTF8 is tasked with restoring international peace and security. Specifically JTF8 shall:

2(c) Deny safe haven to those who finance, plan, facilitate or commit terrorist acts or provide safe havens;

 2(d) Prevent those who finance, plan, facilitate or commit terrorist acts from using their respective territories for those purposes against other States or their citizens;

2(e) Ensure that any person who participates in the financing, planning, preparation or perpetration of terrorist acts or in supporting terrorist acts is brought to justice.

 

Additionally it may be helpful to look to the National Security Strategy of the United States in light of the fact that JTF8 is not a combined force – all elements are American.  If one were to use the concept of precedence to foreign policy, then it would appear that the Qati Government is a candidate for regime change.  Certainly the National Security Strategy (MAR06) would support this notion:

Deny terrorist groups the support and sanctuary of rogue states.  The United States 

and its allies in the War on Terror make no distinction between those who commit acts of terror and those who support and harbor them, because they are equally guilty of murder.  Any government that chooses to be an ally of terror, such as Syria or Iran, has chosen to be an enemy of freedom, justice, and peace.  The world must hold those regimes to account.

 

If regime change were the goal of Operation Endless Justice than a period of stabilization would have to be included in any operational plans as well as the development of ROEs for targeting.  The period of stabilization would confer upon the US military a seemingly endless set of responsibilities – security, justice, water, power, sewer, etc.  The success of this stabilization phase would hang on many things, not the least of which would be the support of the populace.  Ergo, if regime change were an objective than targeting the will of the people, per se, would not be advisable as it would threaten the success of the stabilization phase.

         This paper looked at the legal issues raised by the preparation and execution of Operation ENDLESS JUSTICE.  Adherence to the fundamental principles of the Law of Armed Conflict will not be the easiest route to the end of the kinetic phase of this war.  It will, however, be the surest route to long-lasting peace now that weapons have been released and people have started to die.

 

Predicting Music Genre with Lyrics and Machine Learning Algorithms

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